Long Volatility - Dragon 4.7
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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About
Rules-based “long‑volatility” mix: buys VIX funds when tech looks overheated, may buy a short Nasdaq rebound when deeply oversold, and otherwise holds a defensive blend of gold, Treasuries, US dollar, dividend/defensive stock funds, and anti‑beta.
It blends 3 rule sets that hedge when markets look stretched and play defense otherwise.
- RSI is a 0–100 “heat” score (high=overheated, low=washed‑out). High RSI on tech triggers VIX funds (UVXY/VIXM/VIXY) that often jump in panics; very low RSI can trigger a brief TQQQ bounce bet.
- If volatility is rising, SPY drops fast, or falls below its 200‑day trend, it rotates into defense: gold, Treasuries, US dollar, defensive sectors/dividends, and an anti‑beta fund (BTAL).
The sleeves are combined.
Out-of-sample strategy delivers superior risk-adjusted returns vs the S&P: Sharpe 2.18 vs 1.14, annualized 24.61% vs 20.41%, max drawdown 5.43% vs 18.76%, Calmar 4.53. A volatility hedge plus defensive rotations for steadier growth.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.36 | -0.1 | 0 | -0.07 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 602.38% | 14.69% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.91 | |
| 9,343.95% | 37.67% | 3.74% | 10.46% | 1.41 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$944,394.60Regulatory Fees
$1,941.27
Total Slippage
$11,630.51
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 10, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Long volatility, tactical hedging, momentum/trend, defensive rotation, multi-asset
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 16 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SCHD
Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks