Long Volatility - Dragon 4.7
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Defense‑first, long‑volatility strategy: buys VIX hedges when markets are overheated, shifts to gold/Treasuries/defensive stocks in stress or downtrends, and only takes brief upside bets (TQQQ) when markets look deeply oversold.
It runs 3 sleeves that switch based on simple signals: a short‑term “hot/cold” meter (RSI), a quick loss check (10‑day drop), and a long‑term trend line (200‑day average). When tech looks too hot, it buys VIX‑based crash hedges (UVXY/VIXY/VIXM). When it looks washed out, it briefly buys a 3× tech fund (TQQQ). In selloffs/downtrends it rotates to gold (GLD), Treasuries (IEF/SHY), the US dollar (UUP), an anti‑beta fund (BTAL), and defensive stock funds (SCHD, XLP, XLU, XLV). In calm times it holds safer mixes.
Defense-first, long-volatility strategy that protects in crises and still captures upside. Out-of-sample: max drawdown 5.4% vs 18.8% SPY; annualized return 24.6% vs 20.4%; Sharpe 2.18 vs 1.14.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 10, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical,long volatility,tail-risk hedge,volatility overlay,defensive,trend-following,crisis alpha,risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 16 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SCHD
Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks