Leveraged Apple Long Term Investing - edited to use AAPL instead of AAPU to back to 2010-3-10
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Own Apple when the market trend is up. If not, buy 3× Nasdaq (TQQQ) on deep tech selloffs; else, in short‑term tech downtrends hold either 3× inverse Nasdaq (SQQQ) or short‑term bonds (BSV), whichever is stronger. Rebalanced daily.
When the broad U.S. market (SPY) is in an uptrend—its recent 21‑day average price is above its 210‑day average—the strategy owns Apple (AAPL). If not: if the tech index (QQQ) is very oversold (RSI, a 0–100 gauge of recent weakness, is <30), it buys 3× QQQ (TQQQ; ~triple the daily move). Otherwise, if QQQ is below its 20‑day average, it picks either 3× inverse QQQ (SQQQ) or short‑term bonds (BSV), whichever looks stronger short‑term. If QQQ isn’t weak, it goes back to Apple.
Tech-driven, regime-based strategy stays in AAPL in up markets and uses 3x QQQ bets or hedges in dips. Out-of-sample results show positive alpha and upside during tech rebounds, offering diversification versus the S&P—with higher drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3 | 0.61 | 0.09 | 0.3 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 724.66% | 14.11% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.86 | |
| 17,846.34% | 38.35% | -4.96% | -6.39% | 1.1 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,794,633.80Regulatory Fees
$1,179.59
Total Slippage
$7,380.56
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 5, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following, momentum, tech-focused, leveraged etfs, regime-based