Leveraged Apple Long Term Investing - edited to use AAPL instead of AAPU to back to 2010-3-10
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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About
Mostly holds Apple when the broad market (SPY) trends up. In weak markets it tactically flips into 3x QQQ long, 3x QQQ short, or short‑term bonds using short‑term signals (RSI and 20‑day trend). Daily rebalanced; leveraged ETFs add high risk.
1) Trend check: If SPY’s 21‑day average price is above its 210‑day average, hold Apple (AAPL). (“Average” = average of the last X days.)
2) Otherwise: If QQQ’s 10‑day RSI < 30, buy TQQQ (3x long QQQ). (RSI: 0–100 heat gauge; <30 = oversold.)
3) Otherwise: If QQQ is below its 20‑day average, pick the higher‑RSI of SQQQ (3x inverse QQQ) or BSV (short‑term bonds).
4) Otherwise hold AAPL. Rebalances daily; leveraged ETFs are very volatile.
Lower beta (~0.89) and a regime-driven mix (Apple core, QQQ hedges) offer a distinct risk profile. OOS return ~19.1%, Sharpe ~0.65—strong risk-adjusted diversification relative to the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.29 | 0.62 | 0.09 | 0.3 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 757.14% | 14.27% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.86 | |
| 18,373.41% | 38.26% | 6.29% | 9.64% | 1.1 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,847,341.11Regulatory Fees
$1,179.79
Total Slippage
$7,380.56
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 5, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend following,tactical allocation,tech-heavy,leveraged etfs,rsi,moving averages,daily rebalancing,market regime filter