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Least fit overfit
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

A rules‑based, all‑weather portfolio. It goes on offense with QLD (levered tech) when stocks are calm and shifts to defense (staples, cash‑like Treasuries, gold, US dollar, anti‑beta) when choppy. Bonds and commodities are managed by trend and volatility rules.
NutHow it works
- 35% stocks: If markets are calm, buy QLD (2x tech‑heavy Nasdaq‑100). If choppy, split across SPY (US stocks), BTAL (defensive long/short), XLP (consumer staples). - 30% bonds: Mix Treasuries, TIPS, and corporates. If long Treasuries are calm, add TMF (3x long) with short‑term Treasuries; if choppy, hold SHY plus UUP (US dollar), GLD (gold), XLP. Also a small trend picker among cash, long Treas, high yield, gold, dollar, and a 3–7y Treasury anchor. - 20% inflation hedge: Rotate between staples and a defensive mix (UUP/SHV/BTAL/GLD); trend‑pick DBC (commodities) or GLD vs cash/dollar; may short long Treasuries via TMV (3x inverse) when rates rise, else hold VTIP (short‑term TIPS). - 15% overlay: Own the 2 strongest (by ~4‑month trend) of SPY, TLT, GLD, DBC, UUP, SHV.
CheckmarkValue prop
All-weather, rules-based strategy that switches between risk-on and risk-off to protect you in turbulence. In out-of-sample tests it kept drawdowns near 10% (vs ~19% for SPY) and delivered Calmar ~1.95 with solid risk-adjusted returns—steadier growth than the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
AlphaBetaR2R
0.080.520.50.71
Performance Metrics
Cumulative ReturnAnnualized ReturnTrailing 1M ReturnTrailing 3M ReturnSharpe Ratio
569.71%14.81%2.3%5%0.91
681.07%16.1%-0.28%0.37%1.27
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$78,107.26
Regulatory Fees
$94.66
Total Slippage
$555.15
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 19, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 2%
Type
Stocks
Category
All-weather tactical, multi-asset, volatility-switching, momentum, inflation hedge, bonds, commodities, gold, usd, defensive factor, leveraged etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 18 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
HYG
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
LQD
iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

"Least fit overfit" is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

"Least fit overfit" is currently allocated toTIP, IEF, TMF, VTIP, UUP, DBC, HYG, SHY, LQD, SPY, SHV, QLD, IEI, GLDandXLP. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, "Least fit overfit" has returned 19.68%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for "Least fit overfit" is 10.09%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in "Least fit overfit", simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.

Securities products and brokerage services are offered by Composer Securities LLC, a broker-dealer registered with the SEC and member of FINRA / SIPC. Composer Securities LLC and Composer Technologies Inc. are separate but affiliated companies. Accounts are carried and securities execution, clearance and settlement services are provided by Alpaca Securities LLC, and Apex Clearing Corporation, SEC-registered broker-dealers and members of FINRA / SIPC. Alpaca Securities is a wholly-owned subsidiary of AlpacaDB, Inc. Apex Clearing Corporation, is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Apex Fintech Solutions Inc. Check the background of Composer Securities LLC, Alpaca Securities LLC, and Apex Clearing Corporation on FINRA BrokerCheck . This is not an offer, solicitation of an offer, or advice to buy or sell securities or open a brokerage account in any jurisdiction where Composer Securities is not registered. Securities products offered by Composer Securities are not FDIC insured

With any investment, your capital is at risk. The value of your portfolio with Composer can go down as well as up. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. By using this website, you accept our Terms of Service, Privacy Policy, and Payment Agreement.

Please see Composer Securities' Customer Relationship Summary.

Keep in mind, investing involves risk. Examples are for illustrative purposes and are not a recommendation, an offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Online trading has inherent risk due to system response, execution price, speed, liquidity, market data and access times that may vary due to market conditions, system performance, market volatility, size and type of order and other factors. An investor should understand these and additional risks before trading.

Options trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for all investors. Prior to buying or selling an option with Composer Securities LLC, please read the "Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options," also known as the Options Disclosure Document (ODD). You can access the ODD by clicking here. Options transactions are often complex and can expose investors to potentially rapid and substantial losses. In some cases, you may lose your entire investment in a relatively short period. Furthermore, certain complex options strategies carry additional risk, including the potential for losses that may exceed your original investment amount.

Please read important legal disclosures.

Composer Securities does not provide tax advice. This material is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be a substitute for consultation with a qualified tax professional before making any investment decisions.

The cash sweep program is made available in coordination with Apex Clearing Corporation through Composer Securities. Please read the Important Disclosures for more information.

Composer Securities is a member of SIPC, which protects securities customers of its members up to $500,000 (including $250,000 for claims for cash). Explanatory brochure available upon request or at www.sipc.org. SIPC does not protect against market losses.

Securities products are: Not FDIC insured · Not bank guaranteed · May lose value

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