Least fit overfit
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A complex “all-weather” strategy that gets aggressive in calm markets and shifts into bonds, gold, the dollar, staples, and other defenses when stocks or bonds become turbulent.
This strategy splits money across 4 buckets: stocks, bonds, inflation hedges, and a “best recent trend” bucket.
When the U.S. stock market has been calm, it buys a leveraged tech-heavy fund (QLD). When markets get jumpy, it shifts toward safer areas like consumer staples, gold, short-term Treasuries, the U.S. dollar, and a defensive stock hedge.
It also checks whether long-term bonds are calm or unstable. If calm, it can buy a leveraged long-bond fund; if unstable, it moves toward safer assets. Other parts simply buy whichever of gold, commodities, bonds, cash-like Treasuries, or the dollar has been strongest lately.
All‑weather, risk‑managed strategy with stronger risk‑adjusted performance and tighter downside vs the S&P. OOS max drawdown 10.1% vs 18.8%; Sharpe 1.23; Calmar 1.75—delivering smoother upside and resilience in volatility.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07 | 0.53 | 0.5 | 0.71 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 569.82% | 14.53% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.9 | |
| 672.38% | 15.7% | -5.14% | -1.9% | 1.24 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$77,238.38Regulatory Fees
$98.85
Total Slippage
$569.03
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 19, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 2%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, macro, risk-managed, momentum, volatility-based, inflation hedge, bond timing, leveraged etfs
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 18 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
HYG
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
IEI
iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
LQD
iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF
Stocks
QLD
ProShares Ultra QQQ
Stocks
SHV
iShares Trust iShares 0-1 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks