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About
A daily, tactical sleeve that flips between hedges and contrarian buy‑the‑dip trades using crash/popup checks, market volatility, and bond‑vs‑tech strength (RSI). Uses leveraged/inverse ETFs; equal‑weights picks and rebalances daily.
Each day it:
- If 3x Nasdaq (TQQQ) plunged 6d and then spiked 1d, buy 2–4 hedges with the best recent returns (e.g., VIXY=VIX, TMF/TMV=long/short long‑Treasuries, QID=short Nasdaq, UUP=USD).
- Else if S&P 500’s 10‑day vol is high, hold the calmest hedges (TMF/TMV, SVXY, BTAL, VIXM).
- Else, compare bonds vs tech by RSI (a 0–100 recent‑strength score). If bonds look stronger, buy 2 of the most beaten‑down risk‑on ETFs (e.g., TECL, UPRO, SOXX, LABU); otherwise buy 2 beaten‑down bearish/defensive ETFs (e.g., PSQ, DRV, TYO, SH). Equal‑weight; rebalance daily.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~63% vs SPY ~21.9%, with Calmar ~1.28 and OOS Sharpe ~1.17. A dynamic, regime-switching sleeve using hedges and mean-reversion across 3x/inverse ETFs aims for big upside across markets, albeit with higher drawdown risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.97 | 0.41 | 0.02 | 0.13 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 287.6% | 13.46% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.8 | |
| 1,104,985.84% | 138.14% | 4.91% | 30.93% | 1.8 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$110,508,584.03Regulatory Fees
$482,007.83
Total Slippage
$3,424,052.01
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 15, 2023
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical multi-asset, regime-switching, mean-reversion, volatility-aware, leveraged/inverse etfs, daily rebalanced
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 29 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DRV
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X Shares
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares, Shares of beneficial interest, no par value
Stocks
JDST
Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bear 2X Shares
Stocks
LABD
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares
Stocks
LABU
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks