Layered Risk Algorithm - Primary Risk Appetite Test = European Financials ETF vs. Insurance ETF
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Daily, rules-based rotation. First it asks if European banks are beating U.S. insurers to gauge risk appetite. Then short-term heat gauges and macro checks choose between growth plays (semis/tech/energy/finance) or hedges/defensives (Treasuries, VIX, staples), plus oil/gas sleeves.
Step 1: Risk check—are European banks EUFN beating U.S. insurers KIE over ~2 weeks? If yes, lean risk-on; if no, risk-off.
Step 2: Short-term heat gauges (RSI: 0–100; low=washed out, high=overheated) on junk bonds JNK, big tech QQQ and the S&P 500 SPY decide whether to buy dips or add hedges (VIX funds that rise when volatility jumps, Treasuries, defensives).
Step 3: Macro filters (bonds, commodities, volatility) choose baskets: risk assets (semis/tech/energy/financials), or defensives/shorts/currency hedges. Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample, this rule-based, multi-asset rotation targets higher risk-adjusted upside: ~55% annualized return, ~1.2% max drawdown, Sharpe ~3.7 vs S&P ~22% return, ~2.0% drawdown, Sharpe ~1.4. Daily regime tilts seek downside protection.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jan 16, 2026
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Multi-asset tactical rotation, macro regime, volatility-aware, hedged, equities, bonds, commodities, currencies
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 113 assets in total
Ticker
Type
ADM
Archer Daniels Midland Company
Stocks
AJG
Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.
Stocks
ANDE
Andersons Inc/The
Stocks
ASML
ASML Holding NV
Stocks
AVGO
Broadcom Inc. Common Stock
Stocks
AZO
AutoZone, Inc.
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BIS
ProShares UltraShort NASDAQ Biotechnology
Stocks
BRK/B
BERKSHIRE HATHAWAY Class B
Stocks
BRO
Brown & Brown, Inc.
Stocks