Layer 2: Hedged Bear Market (v 1.1)
Today’s Change (Apr 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, defensive bear-market layer: default to a calmer mix of U.S. dollar and gold; only when weakness isn’t “washed out” does it briefly short stocks with 3x inverse funds, sometimes choosing short-term bonds instead.
Each day it asks: Are stocks healthy? If yes, sit in a calm mix of the U.S. dollar (UUP) and gold (GLD), sized so the steadier one gets more weight. If stocks are weak but not “washed out,” take brief, tactical shorts via 3x inverse funds (SQQQ or SPXS); if shorts look stretched, park in short-term bonds (BSV/SHY) instead.
An insurance overlay that hedges stock risk with a negative SPY beta (-0.38) and USD/gold hedges, delivering diversification and potential downside control in bear markets, while offering a modest out-of-sample return that complements the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.25 | -0.48 | 0.12 | -0.34 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 691.59% | 13.74% | -4.19% | -3.74% | 0.84 | |
| 965.98% | 15.86% | 4.33% | 8.59% | 0.72 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$106,597.74Regulatory Fees
$337.39
Total Slippage
$1,867.26
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 22, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Bear market, tactical, inverse etfs, volatility hedge, gold, us dollar, trend-following, mean reversion, daily rebalance, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SHY
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
SPXS
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks