Layer 1: Black Swan (RSI)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A tail‑risk layer: when an up‑trending market gets overheated, jump into UVXY to catch volatility spikes; otherwise sit in a defensive blend of the U.S. dollar (UUP) and gold (GLD), sized by recent calmness. Rebalanced daily.
Each day: 1) Check trend: if the S&P 500 (SPY) is above its long‑term 200‑day average, go to step 2; otherwise hold a defensive mix of U.S. dollar (UUP) and gold (GLD), giving more weight to the calmer one over the last 30 days. 2) If a 10‑day “speed/heat” gauge (RSI) on TQQQ or SPXL is very high (>79), switch to UVXY, a fund that jumps when market fear spikes. If not, stay in the UUP/GLD mix. Rebalanced daily.
Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers superior risk-adjusted performance vs the S&P 500: Sharpe 1.87, Calmar 2.29, max drawdown ~8% vs ~19%, positive alpha, ~18% annualized gains. A disciplined tail-risk hedge with upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.32 | -0.16 | 0.01 | -0.11 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 685.88% | 15.41% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.94 | |
| 4,613.08% | 30.72% | 1.81% | 4.18% | 1.19 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$471,308.48Regulatory Fees
$511.71
Total Slippage
$3,010.44
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 24, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Volatility hedge, trend filter, rsi overbought trigger, safe-haven rotation, tactical
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total