Layer 1: Black Swan (RSI)
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily tail‑risk sleeve: it normally holds a calmer UUP (US$)/GLD (gold) mix, but briefly flips into UVXY to catch volatility spikes when leveraged equity ETFs (TQQQ/SPXL) look overheated (high 10‑day RSI) and SPY is in an uptrend. No direct stock exposure.
Every day it: 1) Tests trend: is SPY above its 200‑day average price (a long‑term uptrend gauge)? If no, hold UUP (US dollar) + GLD (gold), sized by inverse 30‑day volatility. If yes, it looks for “overheated” stocks via 10‑day RSI (a 0–100 heat score of recent gains). If TQQQ (3x Nasdaq) or, failing that, SPXL (3x S&P) has RSI>79, it buys UVXY (a VIX‑futures ETF that jumps when fear spikes). If not, it stays in the UUP/GLD mix.
Out-of-sample edge: higher risk-adjusted performance (oos Sharpe 1.87 vs 1.36; Calmar 2.29) and lower drawdown (~8% vs ~19%). A defensive USD/Gold sleeve with selective UVXY hedging preserves capital vs the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.32 | -0.16 | 0.01 | -0.11 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 669.43% | 15.2% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.93 | |
| 4,641.58% | 30.69% | 2.94% | 4.55% | 1.19 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$474,157.82Regulatory Fees
$512.83
Total Slippage
$3,016.98
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 24, 2022
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tail-risk hedge, volatility, tactical, rsi, trend filter, gold, us dollar
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total