KMLM XLK/SPY/EEM/VDE Sort
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Each day pick the hottest of tech, S&P 500, emerging markets, or energy. If it’s stronger than KMLM (a trend‑following diversifier), buy that theme’s 2–3x bull ETF; otherwise hold the strongest defensive pick (KMLM/TLT/UUP/GLD/FTLS).
Daily: 1) Check four stock themes—XLK (big U.S. tech), SPY (S&P 500), EEM (emerging markets), VDE (energy)—and pick the best 10‑day performer. 2) Compare its short‑term strength to KMLM (a trend‑following “managed‑futures” fund) using a 0–100 up‑vs‑down score. If stronger, buy its 2–3x bull fund (TQQQ/SPXL/EDC/DIG). If not, hold the strongest defensive: KMLM, TLT (long Treasuries), UUP (U.S. dollar), GLD (gold) or FTLS (long/short).
Out-of-sample edge: 25.4% annualized return vs SPY ~17%, Calmar ~0.70. Captures upside through top themes with risk-on/off discipline; more potential upside, but larger drawdowns (~36% vs ~19%), so higher volatility.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.58 | 1.09 | 0.19 | 0.43 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96.31% | 13.99% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.86 | |
| 2,643.74% | 90.22% | 11.35% | 58.61% | 1.72 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$274,373.73Regulatory Fees
$944.77
Total Slippage
$5,868.43
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Feb 10, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical momentum, risk-on/risk-off, sector rotation, leveraged etfs, cross-asset rotation, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
DIG
ProShares Ultra Energy
Stocks
EDC
Direxion Daily Emerging Markets Bull 3X Shares, Shares of beneficial interest, no par value
Stocks
EEM
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Stocks
FTLS
First Trust Long/Short Equity ETF
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks