KMLM/XLK
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily market-timing strategy that uses big-tech strength versus KMLM as a risk signal. In good markets it leans into or against tech; in weak markets it rotates among Treasury bond, inverse-bond, and cash-like funds.
Each day, the strategy first asks: is the overall U.S. stock market healthy? It uses SPY for that. If yes, it compares tech stocks (XLK) with KMLM, a fund that follows market trends across futures. If tech looks stronger, it may buy TQQQ, a turbocharged bet on big tech, unless stocks look too overheated. If tech looks weaker, it can bet against tech with QID.
If the stock market is weak, it mostly shifts into Treasury-bond trades: sometimes TMF (a turbocharged bet that long-term Treasury bonds will rise), sometimes TMV (a bet they will fall), and sometimes safer bond or cash-like funds such as TLT, BND, AGG, or BIL. It uses several “safety checks” based on recent price trend, momentum, and volatility to avoid the wildest conditions.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~38% vs S&P ~17.6%; tech-led upside with defensive bond shifts in downturns. Low market beta (~0.43) and Calmar ~0.98 offer strong risk-adjusted upside with diversified drawdown protection.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$553,815.21Regulatory Fees
$1,126.81
Total Slippage
$8,335.71
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 28, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, sector rotation, tech momentum, managed futures comparison, bond rotation, leveraged etfs, risk management
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 14 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
QID
ProShares UltraShort QQQ
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SOXS
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks