A fast-moving strategy that chases strong tech when conditions look favorable, but switches to defense, volatility protection, or bearish positions when the market looks overheated or weak.

This strategy first checks whether the overall U.S. stock market is in a healthy long-term uptrend using SPY (the S&P 500). If the market looks healthy, it usually tries to own aggressive tech funds like TECL or SOXL—but only if tech is not too overheated. If prices look too stretched, it moves into safer holdings or a volatility fund (VIXY). If the market looks weak, it becomes more cautious. It may still buy beaten-down tech for a quick rebound, but otherwise it shifts toward defense or even bets against tech or long-term bonds. KMLM, a managed-futures fund, is used as an extra warning light: when it is acting strong, the strategy becomes less willing to chase tech and more willing to defend.

Out-of-sample: 17.86% annualized return vs SPY’s 17.29%, with tactical tech exposure and hedges (VIXY/bonds) plus regime switches. Aims to capture tech upside while diversifying risk; note drawdowns can be sizable in stress periods.