KMLM trend v1 | BT 30 Dec 2020
Today’s Change (Jan 19, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-based, tactical strategy that flips between leveraged tech/S&P “buy-the-dip” bets and defensive hedges. It uses: SPY’s 200‑day trend, KMLM’s 20‑day trend as a macro risk light, and an RSI “heat” meter to avoid overheated markets and buy deep pullbacks.
1) Check the market’s trend: is the S&P 500 above its 200‑day average? If yes, avoid shorting; if no, shorts are allowed.
2) Check KMLM vs its 20‑day average. KMLM is a managed‑futures fund that often does well when stocks struggle; above its trend = go defensive, below = allow offense.
3) Use RSI (a 0–100 “heat” meter). Very high RSI = hedge/defend (VIXY or a defensive mix). Very low RSI = buy “bargains” with 3x tech/S&P (TECL, SOXL, SPXL). Otherwise pick the stronger of TECL vs SOXL by momentum.
Assets used: TECL, SOXL, SPXL (3x bull tech/semis/S&P), TECS (3x inverse tech), VIXY (volatility), BTAL (anti‑beta), SPLV (low‑vol S&P), IEF (Treasuries), TMV (3x inverse long Treasuries), KMLM (managed‑futures gauge). High risk due to leverage.
Regime-driven, 3x-levered strategy timing tech bets and hedges via SPY trend, KMLM, and RSI. Out-of-sample: ~10.9% annualized, higher drawdowns, but offers diversification and potential risk management alongside the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.45 | 1.19 | 0.09 | 0.3 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99.19% | 14.68% | 2.19% | 5.01% | 0.89 | |
| 114,786.09% | 305.69% | -5.25% | -17.74% | 2.39 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$11,488,608.97Regulatory Fees
$46,650.21
Total Slippage
$321,419.18
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 27, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, regime switching, leveraged etfs, momentum/rsi, volatility hedge, managed futures overlay
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPLV
Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TECS
Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3x Shares
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks