KMLM trend v1 | BT 30 Dec 2020
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A tactical, rules-based rotation that uses the S&P 500’s trend, KMLM’s short-term trend, and a “heat meter” (RSI) to switch among 3x tech/semis, a defensive trio (BTAL/SPLV/IEF), volatility (VIXY), short bonds (TMV), or short tech (TECS).
It’s a rules-based switch. 1) Is the S&P 500 above its 200‑day average? If yes, market uptrend. 2) Use KMLM (a managed‑futures fund) vs its 20‑day average to gauge macro stress. 3) A heat meter (RSI, 0–100) judges if prices are too hot, cold, or normal: too hot → move to VIXY or a defensive mix (BTAL/SPLV/IEF); very cold → bargain buys (TECL or SPXL); otherwise pick the stronger of TECL or SOXL. In downtrends it may also short tech (TECS) or short long bonds (TMV).
Dynamic, rules-based rotation across tech, defensives, volatility, and bonds using trend and heat signals. Out-of-sample risk-adjusted returns lag SPY, but the strategy offers disciplined diversification and macro-regime hedging as an overlay to the S&P 500.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.43 | 1.17 | 0.08 | 0.29 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 104.66% | 14.52% | 9.27% | 4.88% | 0.88 | |
| 142,124.75% | 295.33% | -8.64% | 19.04% | 2.35 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$14,222,475.19Regulatory Fees
$55,165.52
Total Slippage
$381,356.15
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 27, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical rotation, trend-following, momentum, mean-reversion, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge, defensive tilt
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
IEF
iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPLV
Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TECS
Direxion Daily Technology Bear 3x ETF
Stocks
TMV
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bear 3X ETF
Stocks