KMLM TQQQ Test
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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About
A high-risk market-timing strategy that swings between 3x bullish tech, 3x bearish tech plus gold, or a volatility hedge, based on whether stocks look overheated, washed out, or weaker than a defensive trend fund.
This strategy is an on/off switch for aggressive tech exposure.
It first checks whether the market has moved too far, too fast using RSI, a short-term “temperature gauge” of recent price moves. If the Nasdaq (QQQ) or broad market (SPY) looks overheated, it moves fully into VIXY, a fund that tends to rise when market fear jumps.
If the market instead looks unusually beaten down, it buys TQQQ, a very aggressive fund that aims to deliver 3x the daily move of the Nasdaq-100.
If neither extreme is happening, it compares technology stocks (XLK) with KMLM, a managed-futures fund that often does better in strong non-stock trends. If tech is stronger, it owns TQQQ. If not, it takes a defensive mix: 50% SQQQ (which rises when the Nasdaq falls) and 50% gold (GLD).
Dynamic, regime-aware rotation that shifts between triple-leveraged tech, volatility hedges, and managed futures. Out-of-sample: 113% annualized return, Calmar 3.8 vs SPY, offering higher upside with strong risk-adjusted strength.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.12 | 1.05 | 0.11 | 0.33 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 124.61% | 14.79% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.92 | |
| 78,791.11% | 211.85% | -4.8% | -8.61% | 2.43 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$7,889,110.74Regulatory Fees
$12,057.44
Total Slippage
$106,933.28
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 10, 2025
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged nasdaq, tactical rotation, volatility hedge, gold, managed-futures signal, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 8 assets in total
Ticker
Type
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
VIXY
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks