KMLM Switcher Testfolio - No Shorts
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily market-timing strategy that switches 100% between cash-like T-bills, aggressive leveraged tech, and long-term Treasury bonds based on recent market and tech momentum.
Each day, the strategy puts all its money into just one holding.
If the overall U.S. stock market (SPY) has risen very fast recently, it moves to BIL, a cash-like Treasury-bill fund.
If the market has fallen very hard recently, it buys TQQQ, a very aggressive tech fund.
Otherwise, it compares recent strength in tech stocks (XLK) with KMLM, a trend-following fund. If tech is stronger, it buys TQQQ; if not, it buys TLT, a long-term Treasury bond fund.
Out-of-sample, this strategy beats the S&P on risk-adjusted return (Sharpe 1.38 vs 1.23) with Calmar 2.90 and outsized upside (82.8% annualized) by regime-switching among cash, leveraged tech, and Treasuries.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.51 | 1.97 | 0.45 | 0.67 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 124.61% | 14.79% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.92 | |
| 5,638.5% | 99.47% | -13.41% | -12.49% | 1.67 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$573,850.24Regulatory Fees
$886.93
Total Slippage
$7,350.74
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 13, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Market timing, tactical allocation, momentum, rsi, leveraged equity, treasury bonds, managed futures signal
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 6 assets in total
Ticker
Type