KMLM Switcher Testfolio
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily switcher that uses “heat” and trend checks to rotate between 3× long/short Nasdaq (TQQQ/SQQQ), long Treasuries (TLT), or T‑bills (BIL), guided by S&P strength and tech vs managed‑futures momentum. Very aggressive.
Each day:
1) If the S&P 500’s 10‑day RSI (a 0–100 heat gauge of recent up vs down days) >80, move to BIL (T‑bills).
2) Else if RSI <30, buy TQQQ (3× Nasdaq‑100).
3) Else if tech (XLK) has higher 10‑day RSI than KMLM (a managed‑futures trend ETF), buy TQQQ.
4) Else if KMLM < its 20‑day average, buy TLT (long‑term Treasuries).
5) Otherwise buy SQQQ (−3× Nasdaq‑100). Very volatile.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets 42.41% annualized return vs SPY’s 30.04%, with Calmar ~1.69. It rotates among TQQQ/SQQQ, TLT, and BIL based on momentum signals to pursue higher upside in volatile markets—accepting larger drawdowns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.42 | 0.26 | 0 | 0.07 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96.21% | 13.96% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.86 | |
| 63,086.67% | 249.05% | 1.45% | 17.94% | 2.26 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$6,318,666.90Regulatory Fees
$10,223.76
Total Slippage
$69,004.00
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 13, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation,momentum,mean reversion,leveraged etfs,trend following,cross-asset,daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks