KMLM Switcher Testfolio
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily market-switching strategy that moves between cash-like T-bills, bullish Nasdaq, bearish Nasdaq, and long Treasuries based on whether the market looks overheated, washed out, or hostile to tech.
Each day, the strategy picks just one holding.
It uses SPY (a fund tracking the broad U.S. stock market) as a market thermometer. If stocks look unusually overheated, it moves to BIL, a very short-term Treasury-bill fund that acts like parking in cash. If stocks look unusually beaten down, it buys TQQQ, an aggressive fund that rises about 3x as fast as the Nasdaq-100 on up days.
If neither extreme is true, it compares tech strength (XLK) with KMLM, a managed-futures fund that often does better in non-stock market trends. If tech is stronger, it buys TQQQ. If not, it looks at KMLM’s recent trend: if KMLM is weakening, it buys TLT (long-term U.S. Treasury bonds); otherwise it buys SQQQ, an aggressive fund that profits when the Nasdaq-100 falls.
Regime-switching strategy pivots between cash, leveraged Nasdaq exposure, and Treasuries to chase tech gains and defend downturns. Out-of-sample: ~69% annualized return vs ~21% SPY, Calmar ~2.05, strong risk-adjusted edge.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.32 | 0.31 | 0.01 | 0.08 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 122.56% | 14.71% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.91 | |
| 89,361.69% | 220.88% | -10.88% | -23.28% | 2.14 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$8,946,169.19Regulatory Fees
$15,499.58
Total Slippage
$139,048.37
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 13, 2025
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, regime switching, leveraged long/short, tech momentum, managed futures signal, treasury defense
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
XLK
State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF
Stocks