KMLM switcher (single pops)| BT 4/13/22
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A fast, tactical ‘pop catcher’: jump into UVXY when stocks look overheated, buy 3x bulls on deep dips, otherwise rotate—go aggressive with tech if it leads, or shift to calmer diversifiers (often KMLM/UUP/FTLS) when tech lags.
Purpose: catch quick reversals, then follow the stronger theme.
- If many stock funds look overheated (RSI = 0–100 heat score; >~80 = stretched), move 100% to UVXY (volatility that jumps when stocks drop).
- If no heat: if vol is hot, hold VIXM or SPXL (per S&P tone).
- Else, buy 3x bulls (TECL/SOXL/SPXL) only when deeply oversold (RSI <~30).
- If nothing extreme, choose tech (TECL/SVIX) when XLK beats KMLM; else hold calmer picks (often KMLM/UUP/FTLS).
Out-of-sample edge: ~46.6% annualized return vs ~16% for the S&P; Sharpe ~0.92; Calmar ~1.69. Uses volatility-driven reversals and regime switching to chase upside while limiting risk.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 13, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, mean reversion, volatility trading, regime switching, leveraged etfs, sector rotation, managed futures, alternatives
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 23 assets in total
Ticker
Type
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
FTLS
First Trust Long/Short Equity ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index Shares
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SVIX
-1x Short VIX Futures ETF
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks