KMLM switcher (single pops)| BT 4/13/22
Today’s Change (Sep 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A tactical, all‑in switcher. It fades overheated markets via a volatility spike play (UVXY), buys 3x equity bulls on deep dips, and otherwise toggles between aggressive tech/short‑vol and a defensive alternatives mix anchored by KMLM.
Uses a quick “hot/cold” score (RSI: 0–100) on broad funds. If many are red‑hot (≈80+), jump into UVXY (short‑term VIX) to catch a volatility pop. If UVXY itself is hot, hold VIXM or SPXL. If markets are washed‑out (≈30 or below), buy a 3x bull fund (tech/semis/S&P). If nothing is extreme: when tech leads KMLM (managed futures), pick TECL or SVIX (whichever is more washed‑out); otherwise rotate into a calmer mix from KMLM, FTLS, UUP, TMF/TMV, SVXY/VIXM.
Out-of-sample edge: Sharpe ~1.14 vs SPY ~0.98, positive alpha, Calmar ~2.48, and ~68% annualized return. Drawdowns are larger (~27.5%), but the upside per unit risk beats the S&P 500 and adds diversification.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.38 | 1.41 | 0.15 | 0.39 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82.5% | 14.61% | -0.5% | 2.26% | 0.88 | |
| 47,459.2% | 304.31% | -8.31% | 10.4% | 2.56 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$4,755,920.34Regulatory Fees
$11,599.06
Total Slippage
$98,110.44
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 13, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical,momentum,mean-reversion,volatility,leveraged etfs,sector rotation,managed futures,risk-on/off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 23 assets in total
Ticker
Type
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
FTLS
First Trust Long/Short Equity ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SVIX
-1x Short VIX Futures ETF
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks