KMLM switcher (single pops)| BT 4/13/22
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A very aggressive switcher that jumps between tech, the broad market, volatility, and defensive diversifiers. It tries to hide when markets look overheated, buy rebounds after selloffs, and use KMLM as a signal for when to be safer.
This strategy is an all-or-nothing market switcher.
It first asks: has the stock market gotten too hot too fast? It uses RSI, which is just a score of how stretched a recent move is. Very high RSI = prices may have jumped too far, too fast. If that happens, it moves into UVXY, a fund that usually rises when market fear spikes.
If markets are not overheated, it then looks for the opposite: sharp recent drops in aggressive stock funds like technology, semiconductors, or the S&P 500. If one looks beaten down, it buys that area for a rebound.
If neither extreme is present, it compares tech strength with KMLM, a managed-futures fund that follows trends across things like commodities, currencies, interest rates, and stock indexes. If tech looks stronger, it takes an aggressive risk-on position. If not, it shifts toward a calmer mix of defensive or diversifying funds.
Out-of-sample edge: ~63.8% annualized return vs SPY ~16%; Sharpe ~1.10 vs ~0.98; Calmar 2.32; alpha ~0.44%. Regime-switching, diversified exposure aims for bigger upside, with higher drawdowns possible vs SPY.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.34 | 1.39 | 0.15 | 0.38 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85.23% | 14.67% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.89 | |
| 46,020.15% | 290.35% | -3.06% | 19.82% | 2.51 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$4,612,015.16Regulatory Fees
$12,344.98
Total Slippage
$104,698.74
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Oct 13, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, regime switching, mean reversion, volatility trading, leveraged etfs, managed futures, long/short rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 23 assets in total
Ticker
Type
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
FTLS
First Trust Long/Short Equity ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SVIX
-1x Short VIX Futures ETF
Stocks
SVXY
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks