KMLM switcher (IRA and ROTH)
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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About
A fast-moving all-in strategy that jumps between aggressive stock bets, volatility funds, inverse Nasdaq, and Treasury bonds based on whether markets look overheated, beaten down, or defensive.
This strategy puts all its money into whichever single idea looks best right now.
First, it checks whether parts of the stock market look overheated using RSI, a simple score of how hard prices have risen lately. If things look too hot, it buys UVXY, a fund that tends to jump when fear spikes.
If not, it looks for sharp pullbacks in aggressive stock funds like tech, chips, the S&P 500, or biotech and buys those dips. If no dip stands out, it compares tech to KMLM, a managed-futures fund that often does better in messy markets. If tech is stronger, it buys beaten-down growth trades; if not, it shifts to either an inverse Nasdaq fund or long Treasury bonds for defense.
Out-of-sample, this tactical, single-position strategy offers strong risk-adjusted upside vs the S&P: Calmar 2.96, Sharpe ~1.24, beta ~0.11, annualized return ~83% over 457 days. Higher drawdowns (~28%) come with outsized gains.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.05 | 0.35 | 0.01 | 0.08 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83.72% | 14.32% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.87 | |
| 399,044.9% | 520.24% | -4.01% | -10.55% | 2.82 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$39,914,490.40Regulatory Fees
$92,924.53
Total Slippage
$869,200.32
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 4, 2025
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, regime switching, leveraged etfs, volatility trading, mean reversion, risk-on/risk-off
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 22 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BULZ
MicroSectors FANG & Innovation 3x Leveraged ETN
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
LABU
Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
QQQE
Direxion Shares ETF Trust Direxion NASDAQ-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
SVIX
-1x Short VIX Futures ETF
Stocks