KMLM Switcher in Not Today Satan Framework (w/ Pops)| BT 4/13/22 = AR 323% / StdDev 46.3 /DD 15.3%
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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About
A fast-moving market-timing strategy that swings between aggressive stock bets and defensive assets, using volatility, bond, credit, and tech signals—with KMLM as a key safety benchmark.
This strategy constantly asks: is the market calm, risky, or panicking?
If conditions look good, it makes aggressive bets on tech or the stock market, or on volatility falling. If stocks look weaker than KMLM—a managed-futures fund that often holds up better in rough markets—it switches to safer diversifiers like bonds, gold, dollar, long/short funds, or managed futures. In crashes, it can buy volatility funds as protection.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~58% vs S&P ~18%; Sharpe ~1.15; Calmar ~1.96—strong risk-adjusted upside. Note higher drawdowns (~30%). The strategy adaptively shifts among equities, bonds and hedges to protect during downturns.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.89 | 1.02 | 0.12 | 0.35 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85.23% | 14.67% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.89 | |
| 6,211.24% | 151% | 8.24% | 3.36% | 2.12 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$631,123.58Regulatory Fees
$3,912.87
Total Slippage
$29,259.76
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 18, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, risk-managed, leveraged etfs, volatility trading, managed futures, long/short, macro regime switching
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 45 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
CEW
WisdomTree Emerging Currency Strategy Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
DRV
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
FTLS
First Trust Long/Short Equity ETF
Stocks