KMLM Switcher in Not Today Satan Framework (w/ Pops)| BT 4/13/22 = AR 323% / StdDev 46.3 /DD 15.3%
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
Rule‑based switch: pursue tech or short‑volatility when conditions are calm; rotate into managed futures, bonds, dollar, gold/anti‑beta, or VIX hedges when stress appears. Heavy use of leveraged and volatility ETFs; fast‑moving and high risk.
Reads four dials: stock trend, credit (junk bonds), market fear (VIX), and rate trend. If calm and tech leads, it buys TECL (3x tech) or SVIX (benefits when fear fades), picking the one most washed‑out short term. If a diversifier leads (KMLM = managed‑futures in commodities/rates/currencies), it rotates among KMLM, FTLS (long/short equity), Treasuries (TMF/TMV), US dollar (UUP), and volatility funds. In stress, it shifts to short‑term bonds, Treasuries, gold/anti‑beta (BTAL), or VIX hedges. RSI = 0–100 heat gauge; low=washed‑out, high=hot.
Out-of-sample edge: annualized return ~84% vs SPY’s ~19%, and risk-adjusted Sharpe ~1.43 vs ~1.14. Drawdowns higher in extreme events (~29.7% vs ~18.8%), but Calmar ~2.83 shows strong downside control and crisis resilience through tactical macro diversification.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.09 | 0.96 | 0.12 | 0.34 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.47% | 12.7% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.77 | |
| 7,064.52% | 198.61% | 19.36% | 16.88% | 2.48 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$716,451.54Regulatory Fees
$3,537.17
Total Slippage
$21,515.64
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 18, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, risk-on/risk-off, volatility-driven, trend-following, leveraged etfs, managed futures, long/short, macro regimes, crisis hedging
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 45 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
CEW
WisdomTree Emerging Currency Strategy Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DBO
Invesco DB Oil Fund
Stocks
DIA
State Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust
Stocks
DRV
Direxion Daily Real Estate Bear 3X ETF
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
FTLS
First Trust Long/Short Equity ETF
Stocks