KMLM Switcher in Not Today Satan Framework (w/ Pops)| BT 4/13/22 = AR 323% / StdDev 46.3 /DD 15.3%
Today’s Change (Jun 22, 2026)
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About
Rule‑based switch: pursue tech or short‑volatility when conditions are calm; rotate into managed futures, bonds, dollar, gold/anti‑beta, or VIX hedges when stress appears. Heavy use of leveraged and volatility ETFs; fast‑moving and high risk.
Reads four dials: stock trend, credit (junk bonds), market fear (VIX), and rate trend. If calm and tech leads, it buys TECL (3x tech) or SVIX (benefits when fear fades), picking the one most washed‑out short term. If a diversifier leads (KMLM = managed‑futures in commodities/rates/currencies), it rotates among KMLM, FTLS (long/short equity), Treasuries (TMF/TMV), US dollar (UUP), and volatility funds. In stress, it shifts to short‑term bonds, Treasuries, gold/anti‑beta (BTAL), or VIX hedges. RSI = 0–100 heat gauge; low=washed‑out, high=hot.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~79% vs SPY ~19.6%, Sharpe ~1.37 vs ~1.18, Calmar ~2.67—better risk-adjusted gains and crisis hedges. Diversified, macro-driven dynamics aim to outperform the S&P while managing drawdowns (though higher on stress).
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.99 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.35 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78.47% | 14.93% | 1.36% | 13.5% | 0.89 | |
| 6,730.62% | 175.86% | 1.46% | -4.77% | 2.29 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$683,062.15Regulatory Fees
$3,397.26
Total Slippage
$26,148.55
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Mar 18, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, risk-on/risk-off, volatility-driven, trend-following, leveraged etfs, managed futures, long/short, macro regimes, crisis hedging