KMLM AGG SH JRT
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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About
A rule-based, two-path tactical strategy that switches between a levered tech tilt and a defensive, volatility-weighted basket using RSI momentum screens and hedges. It combines FNGU/TECL, SMH, a four-name inverse-vol basket (LLY, NVO, COST, GE), a hedge (PSQ), and bond exposure (AGG), with no fixed calendar rebalancing and a small drift threshold for changes. High risk, high potential upside in tech-heavy markets.
Plain-language description of decision flow:
- Step 1: The system looks at tech momentum versus a gating ETF. If tech is stronger (XLK RSI10 > KMLM RSI10), you enter the tech-tilt path. If not, you enter a defensive path.
- Tech-tilt path: Decide between a levered tech mix (FNGU and TECL) or a semiconductor tilt (SMH) based on a longer-horizon bond momentum check (RSI of AGG vs SH). If AGG’s momentum is higher, favor the levered tech bets (FNGU and TECL). If not, favor SMH for a more diversified tech exposure.
- Defensive path: Build a low-volatility basket from four big names (LLY, NVO, COST, GE) with weights adjusted by an inverse-volatility rule. Then, based on the same AGG vs SH momentum check, either continue with the inverse-volatility basket or switch to PSQ (a hedge that bets against the Nasdaq/tech complex).
- Weights and rebalancing: Weights are adjusted to keep things balanced within each branch (wt-cash-equal and inverse-vol weighting). There is no fixed calendar rebalancing; a very small drift threshold (0.1) triggers rebalancing if needed. The overall portfolio is described by the label “KMLM AGG SH JRT,” but the live holdings come from the assets named above (FNGU, TECL, SMH, LLY, NVO, COST, GE, AGG, SH, PSQ).
- What you’re aiming for: in favorable market conditions, you get a tilt toward aggressive tech exposure with leverage; in risk-off conditions, you shift toward a diversified, lower-volatility basket with hedges and a bond tilt to damp drawdowns.
An adaptive, rule-based strategy that switches between leveraged tech bets and hedged, low-vol exposure to diversify vs the S&P. It targets lower market beta and risk-managed upside, though out-of-sample returns may lag in strong bull markets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -0.01 | 0.74 | 0.12 | 0.35 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.19% | 10.45% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.62 | |
| -0.67% | -0.62% | -5.84% | -4.69% | 0.19 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$9,933.41Regulatory Fees
$14.69
Total Slippage
$94.92
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 20, 2024
Trading Setting
Threshold 10%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical multi-asset, momentum-driven, leveraged tech tilt, volatility-weighted, hedged
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 12 assets in total
Ticker
Type
AGG
iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
Stocks
COST
Costco Wholesale Corp
Stocks
FNGU
MicroSectors FANG+ 3x Leveraged ETNs due February 17, 2045
Stocks
GE
GE Aerospace
Stocks
KMLM
KraneShares Mount Lucas Managed Futures Index Strategy ETF
Stocks
LLY
Eli Lilly & Co.
Stocks
NVO
Novo-Nordisk A/S
Stocks
PSQ
ProShares Short QQQ
Stocks
SH
ProShares Short S&P500
Stocks
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
Stocks