Keynes' Algo (TQQQ FTLT v4)
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
Rides uptrends with 3× tech (TQQQ), hedges overheated spots with volatility (UVXY), and in downtrends either shorts tech (SQQQ), hides in Treasuries (TLT), or buys oversold rebounds (TECL/UPRO). Single daily‑selected holding.
Daily check. If the S&P 500 (SPY) is in an uptrend (price above its 200‑day average), hold a 3× tech fund (TQQQ) unless a short‑term “too hot” reading (RSI: a 0–100 heat gauge) flips to a volatility hedge (UVXY, jumps when fear rises). In downtrends, buy quick rebounds (TECL=3× tech or UPRO=3× S&P) when washed out (low RSI); otherwise short tech (SQQQ=−3×) or sit in long Treasuries (TLT). One holding; checked daily.
Out-of-sample edge: ~57% annualized return vs SPY ~19%, Calmar ≈1.14, Sharpe ≈1.01. Captures tech upside in uptrends, hedges risk with UVXY, and opportunistically buys oversold bounces in down markets. Higher drawdown (~50%) but stronger upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.9 | 1.61 | 0.18 | 0.43 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 685.88% | 15.41% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.94 | |
| 101,973,892.02% | 161.7% | 1% | -9.32% | 1.84 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$10,197,399,202.38Regulatory Fees
$6,767,198.08
Total Slippage
$48,668,452.62
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 11, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, trend-following, mean-reversion, volatility hedge, tactical rotation, equities and bonds
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type