Kearsarge - 13% Threshold + v4 Pops + v1.2.1 USDU Commodities
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A rules‑driven portfolio that rides clear tech uptrends, hedges short‑term pops with VIX funds, and shifts to bonds, cash, gold, dollar, or defensive sectors when risk rises—plus a small commodities sleeve that favors commodities over the US dollar when strong. Rebalances only if sleeves drift ~13%.
It splits your money into sleeves that switch based on simple signals:
• Tech stocks: Ride uptrends (price above its recent average). After big spikes or a very “hot” short‑term score (0–100), briefly buy VIX funds (UVXY/VIXM) as a hedge; if very “cold,” buy 3x tech (TECL) for a bounce—else sit in T‑Bills.
• Bonds: Own them when trending up; else cash‑like bills.
• Commodities: Own commodities when they beat the US dollar; else hold the dollar or a beaten‑down metal.
• Safety: Rotate among VIX funds, anti‑beta (BTAL), gold, Treasuries, staples/utilities if risk rises. Rebalance only when weights drift ~13%.
Out-of-sample Sharpe 1.95 vs 1.44; Calmar 2.89; max drawdown 6.6% vs 18.8%. A risk-managed, diversified sleeve strategy cutting downside with hedges and volatility tools while capturing tech upside - better risk-adjusted returns than the S&P 500.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 13, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 13%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical multi-asset, trend & mean reversion, volatility hedging, leveraged etfs, defensive overlays
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 50 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BLV
Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BNDX
Vanguard Total International Bond ETF
Stocks
BOXX
Alpha Architect 1-3 Month Box ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DBMF
iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X Shares
Stocks