Kearsarge - 13% Threshold + v4 Pops + Commodity Momentum (#COMMO)
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
An active, multi‑bucket portfolio that chases tech rallies, rotates among bonds and commodities, and adds/removes hedges (volatility, gold, dollar, defensive sectors) as conditions change. Uses leveraged and VIX ETFs—high risk, fast‑moving.
Built from 4 sleeves:
1) Tech pops: ride tech rallies with 3x funds (TECL/TQQQ); switch to cash (BIL) or fear hedge (UVXY/VIXM) when overheated or dropping fast.
2) Bonds trend: hold BND/BSV/BNDX/BLV/PULS while up; else BOXX.
3) Commodities momentum: own the 2 strongest of SPY, TLT, UUP, GLD, SHV, DBC.
4) Safety: mix gold, staples/utilities, dollar, managed futures, and VIX funds.
RSI=0–100 hot/cold; moving averages=trend; VIX funds jump with fear; SVXY moves opposite.
Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers higher risk-adjusted performance (Sharpe ~2.05 vs ~1.44), far smaller drawdowns (~6.5% vs ~18.8%), and a strong Calmar ratio (~3.12), giving steadier gains than the S&P with similar upside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.17 | 0.15 | 0.06 | 0.24 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85.27% | 21.26% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 1.35 | |
| 88.46% | 21.91% | 0.96% | 4.3% | 2.21 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$18,846.32Regulatory Fees
$48.54
Total Slippage
$288.15
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 15, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 13%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical multi-asset, momentum & mean reversion, volatility hedging, leveraged etfs, bonds, commodities, defensive sectors
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 45 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BLV
Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BNDX
Vanguard Total International Bond ETF
Stocks
BOXX
Alpha Architect 1-3 Month Box ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DBMF
iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X ETF
Stocks