Kearsarge - 13% Threshold - Replace BOXX w/ USDU + v4 Pops + v1.2.1 USDU Commodities
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules‑driven, risk‑on/risk‑off portfolio. It rides tech uptrends with 3x funds, hedges overheated pops with volatility ETFs, and shifts to T‑Bills, Treasuries, gold, or a strong USD in selloffs. Includes a small commodities sleeve and layered safety nets.
The portfolio is split into sleeves (commodities, stocks, bonds and two safety sleeves). It checks a few gauges each day: trend vs its recent average, how “hot/cold” the last days were (0–100 scale), and a market “fear” index.
• Calm uptrend → ride 3x‑tech funds.
• Overheated pop → briefly buy volatility as a hedge.
• Sharp drop → move to T‑Bills, Treasuries, gold, or a strong U.S. dollar. A small sleeve holds commodities.
Out-of-sample, this rules-based strategy delivers higher risk-adjusted return (Sharpe ~1.96 vs SPY ~1.44) and far smaller drawdowns (~6.6% vs ~18.8%), targeting ~19% annualized return with downside protection.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.42 | 0.04 | 0 | 0.05 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 163.8% | 15.32% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.82 | |
| 1,580.99% | 51.39% | 3.05% | 4.33% | 2.94 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$168,098.99Regulatory Fees
$564.02
Total Slippage
$3,509.50
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
May 14, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 13%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, risk-on/risk-off, leveraged tech, volatility hedging, bonds/cash, commodities
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 49 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BLV
Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
BNDX
Vanguard Total International Bond ETF
Stocks
BSV
Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF
Stocks
BTAL
AGF U.S. Market Neutral Anti-Beta Fund
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
DBMF
iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF
Stocks
ERX
Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X Shares
Stocks
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Stocks