JM257 - SPYU For The Long Term (Reddit Post Link) by JM
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A daily rules-based switcher. In uptrends it rides SPYU (4x S&P 500) unless things look overheated, then briefly hedges with UVXY. In downtrends it either buys dips with SPYU or rotates to SQQQ (inverse Nasdaq) or TLT (Treasuries) using a short-term “heat” score.
Daily switches among: SPYU (4x S&P 500), UVXY (volatility), SQQQ (3x inverse Nasdaq), or TLT (long Treasuries).
RSI(10d) is a 0–100 “heat” gauge (>70 hot, <30 cold). 200d/20d MAs are average prices.
If S&P > 200d: hold SPYU unless TQQQ or SPXL are too hot (RSI>~80) → UVXY.
If S&P < 200d: if washed‑out (TQQQ RSI<31 or SPY RSI<30) → SPYU; else if TQQQ < 20d → pick stronger of SQQQ or TLT by RSI; else if SQQQ RSI<31 → SQQQ; else SPYU.
Exposures: S&P 500 (tech‑tilt), inverse big tech, Treasuries, volatility.
Aim for outsized growth: out-of-sample annual return ~37.8% vs SPY ~18%, via a disciplined, daily-tactical mix of 4x S&P 500 exposure via SPYU and smart hedges. Expect higher volatility and drawdowns, but potential for big upside in uptrends.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07 | 2.89 | 0.6 | 0.77 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.52% | 21.15% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 1.29 | |
| 199.03% | 63.28% | -0.35% | -9.05% | 1.12 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$29,903.42Regulatory Fees
$12.93
Total Slippage
$79.58
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 25, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical, trend + mean reversion, leveraged etfs, us large-cap, inverse nasdaq, treasuries, volatility (vix), daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type