JM257 - SPYU For The Long Term (Reddit Post Link) by JM
Today’s Change (Jul 28, 2026)
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About
Mostly rides a 4x S&P 500 note in uptrends. When it looks overheated, it briefly switches to a volatility fund. In downtrends, it sometimes buys oversold dips; otherwise it rotates to a bear Nasdaq fund or to long Treasuries based on short‑term strength.
Each day: if the S&P 500 is above its 200‑day average, hold a 4x S&P note (SPYU) unless short‑term “heat” says it’s too hot—then park in a volatility fund (UVXY) briefly. If below, buy sharp dips with SPYU; otherwise rotate to either a bear Nasdaq fund (SQQQ) or long Treasuries (TLT), whichever looks stronger short term.
Out-of-sample: about 25.5% annualized return vs SPY ~17%, with adaptive risk controls and regime-based hedges designed to capture bull markets while protecting capital in tricky times—though drawdowns can be larger during volatility spikes.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03 | 2.83 | 0.57 | 0.76 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67.43% | 21.71% | -0.26% | 3.61% | 1.33 | |
| 228.85% | 57.43% | -3.47% | -8.95% | 1.06 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$32,884.59Regulatory Fees
$31.27
Total Slippage
$196.54
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 25, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend filter, tactical trading, leveraged funds, momentum and mean-reversion, daily rebalance, volatility hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type