JM256 - UPRO For The Long Term (Reddit Post Link) Feaver mod
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A daily-rebalanced, highly levered equity strategy using 3x ETFs (UPRO, SPXL, TQQQ) with volatility-based risk hedges (UVXY, SPXU) and treasury exposure (TLT), guided by a trend filter (SPY 200-day), RSI signals, and an equal-weight allocation approach.
- The strategy aims to grow by riding big moves in US stocks using 3x leveraged ETFs (UPRO, SPXL, TQQQ) when conditions look favorable.
- It uses a trend check (SPY above its 200-day moving average) as a basic market-direction filter.
- It measures market fear via UVXY and its 10-day RSI. If fear is extreme (RSI high), it tilts toward hedges or cash instead of piling into levered longs.
- It uses momentum checks on the levered proxies and a hedging decision between SPXU (inverse S&P 500) and TL/TLT (treasuries) when risk-off signals are strongest.
- It tries to keep equal weight across active signals (cash-equal) and rebalances daily.
- The included tickers are levered equity ETFs (UPRO, SPXL, TQQQ), hedges (SPXU, UVXY), a broad market proxy (SPY, SPY reference), and a treasury ETF (TLT).
- In plain terms: if the market is strong and volatility isn’t alarming, you ride big stock moves with leverage; if volatility spikes or the market looks weak, you switch toward hedges or cash and wait for conditions to improve.
Out-of-sample: 53.6% annualized return vs ~18.5% S&P, with Sharpe ~1.06 and Calmar ~1.23. Expect higher drawdowns (~43%), but hedges and trend filtering target big upside with managed risk.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 13, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged equities, momentum, volatility hedging, trend filter, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type