JM256 - UPRO For The Long Term (Reddit Post Link) Feaver mod
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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About
Daily, it rides long-term stock uptrends with a 3× S&P fund (UPRO), flips to volatility if things look overheated, and in downtrends either buys sharp dips for bounces or shifts to defensive/short funds (SPXU or TLT).
First, it checks if the S&P 500 (SPY) is above its 200‑day average to decide risk‑on or risk‑off. It also uses RSI, a 0–100 “hot/cold” score from recent moves (high=overheated, low=washed‑out).
• Above 200‑day: usually hold UPRO (3× S&P); if RSI shows overheating (on tech TQQQ or S&P SPXL), switch to UVXY (volatility).
• Below 200‑day: buy oversold bounces (TQQQ or UPRO). If no bounce and UPRO is weak, pick SPXU (3× short S&P) or TLT (Treasuries) by which looks stronger.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets 53.6% annualized return vs 18.5% for SPY, with Sharpe ~1.06 and Calmar ~1.23. It uses 3× S&P exposure with dynamic risk-off/volatility shifts to improve risk-adjusted upside vs the S&P.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.42 | 0.2 | 0.45 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 716.72% | 15.58% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.95 | |
| 17,764,522.81% | 130.11% | 27.39% | 20.77% | 1.82 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$1,776,462,281.28Regulatory Fees
$1,595,191.82
Total Slippage
$11,464,351.21
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Sep 13, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, trend following, mean reversion, volatility, tactical allocation, us equities, treasuries, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type