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JM256 - SPXL For The Long Term (Reddit Post Link) by JM
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

Daily, one‑ETF strategy centered on SPXL. In uptrends it rides SPXL, but if things look overheated it briefly hedges with UVXY. In downtrends it buys S&P dips or rotates to SQQQ (inverse Nasdaq) or TLT (bonds). Uses 3x ETFs; very high risk.
NutHow it works
Daily, it holds one fund. First test: is SPY above its 200‑day average (long‑term trend line)? If yes, hold SPXL (3x S&P 500) unless a 10‑day “heat” gauge (RSI) for TQQQ or SPXL is extremely hot; then flip to UVXY (volatility hedge). If not, buy big dips with SPXL/UPRO (3x S&P) when RSI is very low; otherwise pick SQQQ (3x inverse Nasdaq) or TLT (long Treasuries) by which is stronger. Very high risk.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample edge: annualized return ~44.6% vs SPY ~18%; Calmar ~1.04. Higher upside in uptrends, risk-adjusted near SPY, but larger drawdowns (~43%). Fits investors who can tolerate higher volatility for bigger gains.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
AlphaBetaR2R
0.81.240.150.39
Performance Metrics
Cumulative ReturnAnnualized ReturnTrailing 1M ReturnTrailing 3M ReturnSharpe Ratio
681.5%15.36%0.54%-0.34%0.94
23,305,262.01%136.12%0.67%-4.22%1.86
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,330,536,200.77
Regulatory Fees
$1,741,120.23
Total Slippage
$12,517,201.23
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 25, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, daily timing, trend + mean‑reversion, volatility hedge, s&p 500, nasdaq‑100, treasuries
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

The symphony is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

The symphony is currently allocated toSPXL. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, the symphony has returned 34.07%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for the symphony is 43.00%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in the symphony, simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.