JM256 - SPXL For The Long Term (Reddit Post Link) by JM
Today’s Change (Mar 6, 2026)
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About
Daily, one‑ETF strategy centered on SPXL. In uptrends it rides SPXL, but if things look overheated it briefly hedges with UVXY. In downtrends it buys S&P dips or rotates to SQQQ (inverse Nasdaq) or TLT (bonds). Uses 3x ETFs; very high risk.
Daily, it holds one fund. First test: is SPY above its 200‑day average (long‑term trend line)? If yes, hold SPXL (3x S&P 500) unless a 10‑day “heat” gauge (RSI) for TQQQ or SPXL is extremely hot; then flip to UVXY (volatility hedge). If not, buy big dips with SPXL/UPRO (3x S&P) when RSI is very low; otherwise pick SQQQ (3x inverse Nasdaq) or TLT (long Treasuries) by which is stronger. Very high risk.
Out-of-sample edge: annualized return ~44.6% vs SPY ~18%; Calmar ~1.04. Higher upside in uptrends, risk-adjusted near SPY, but larger drawdowns (~43%). Fits investors who can tolerate higher volatility for bigger gains.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8 | 1.24 | 0.15 | 0.39 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 681.5% | 15.36% | 0.54% | -0.34% | 0.94 | |
| 23,305,262.01% | 136.12% | 0.67% | -4.22% | 1.86 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$2,330,536,200.77Regulatory Fees
$1,741,120.23
Total Slippage
$12,517,201.23
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 25, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, daily timing, trend + mean‑reversion, volatility hedge, s&p 500, nasdaq‑100, treasuries
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 7 assets in total
Ticker
Type