JM255 - TQQQ For The Long Term (Reddit Post Link) modified by JM 8-25-24
Today’s Change (Mar 18, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Ride tech with TQQQ in uptrends, hedge frothy spots with a 50/50 UVXY/BIL mix, and in downtrends rotate among 3× tech/S&P bounce plays, inverse Nasdaq (SQQQ), or Treasuries (TLT) using short‑term “heat” gauges. Very volatile; rebalances daily.
It’s a daily switcher built on two simple ideas: trend and “heat.”
- Trend: If the S&P 500 is above its 200‑day average (an uptrend), default to TQQQ (3× Nasdaq). If short‑term “heat” (RSI, a 0–100 gauge of recent gains) is very high, park 50/50 in UVXY (volatility) and BIL (T‑bills).
- If not in an uptrend: buy oversold bounces in TECL (3× tech) or UPRO (3× S&P). If no bounce, pick the stronger of SQQQ (−3× Nasdaq) or TLT (Treasuries); otherwise SQQQ if oversold, else TQQQ.
Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers big growth with hedges: 65.6% annualized vs ~18% for the S&P, Sharpe ~1.09 vs ~1.03, Calmar ~1.31, and positive alpha ~0.24, though drawdowns can reach ~50% vs ~19%.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 25, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, trend + mean-reversion, volatility hedge, treasuries, tech-heavy, tactical, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks