JM255 - TQQQ For The Long Term (Reddit Post Link) modified by JM 8-25-24
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A daily, tactical levered-equity strategy that uses a 10-day RSI momentum filter and a 200-day trend check to pick a single levered ETF (e.g., TQQQ, SPXL, UPRO, TECL) for upside, while switching to hedges (UVXY/BIL or SQQQ/TLT) when momentum or trend signals warn of risk. High-risk, high-reward equity exposure with built-in risk controls and a single-asset-at-a-time approach.
- Every day, you start with full exposure to one asset chosen from a set of levered ETFs, aiming to capture big moves in equities.
- Momentum filter: the strategy looks at the 10-day RSI (a momentum gauge) for assets like TQQQ, and if it’s very high (e.g., above 79), it shifts toward hedges (UVXY) and cash-like safety (BIL) to reduce risk.
- Trend check: it compares the current market price (SPY) to its 200-day moving average. If SPY is above that long-term average, the model tends to stay in or switch to a levered-long equity ETF chosen by a short, top-ranked momentum screen among candidates (TQQQ, SPXL, UPRO, TECL, etc.).
- Selection logic: among eligible levered ETFs, the system ranks by a 10-day RSI and selects the top candidate to hold (one-at-a-time exposure).
- If the market is not in an uptrend (price below the 200-day MA), the strategy leans into hedges (SQQQ) and/or longer-duration Treasuries (TLT) to dampen losses.
- Rebalance is daily, and the intended outcome is to stay exposed to equities with leverage when conditions are favorable, while using UVXY, BIL, SQQQ, and TLT to manage risk.
- The setup is explicitly equity-focused rather than diversified into multiple uncorrelated asset classes; the core exposure remains leveraged equity, with tactical hedges to protect against downside.
Out-of-sample edge: ~65.6% annualized return, ~1.09 Sharpe, and Calmar ~1.31 versus SPY ~18% return and ~1.03 Sharpe. Daily, single-asset levered equity with hedges aims to outperform the S&P 500 while managing risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.79 | 1.68 | 0.22 | 0.47 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 667.41% | 15.19% | -2.02% | -1.16% | 0.93 | |
| 30,982,998.47% | 140.43% | -1.84% | -9.17% | 1.77 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,098,309,846.70Regulatory Fees
$2,012,272.14
Total Slippage
$14,463,292.75
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 25, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged equity, momentum, tactical allocation, hedging, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks