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JM255 - TQQQ For The Long Term (Reddit Post Link) modified by JM 8-25-24
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

A daily, tactical levered-equity strategy that uses a 10-day RSI momentum filter and a 200-day trend check to pick a single levered ETF (e.g., TQQQ, SPXL, UPRO, TECL) for upside, while switching to hedges (UVXY/BIL or SQQQ/TLT) when momentum or trend signals warn of risk. High-risk, high-reward equity exposure with built-in risk controls and a single-asset-at-a-time approach.
NutHow it works
- Every day, you start with full exposure to one asset chosen from a set of levered ETFs, aiming to capture big moves in equities. - Momentum filter: the strategy looks at the 10-day RSI (a momentum gauge) for assets like TQQQ, and if it’s very high (e.g., above 79), it shifts toward hedges (UVXY) and cash-like safety (BIL) to reduce risk. - Trend check: it compares the current market price (SPY) to its 200-day moving average. If SPY is above that long-term average, the model tends to stay in or switch to a levered-long equity ETF chosen by a short, top-ranked momentum screen among candidates (TQQQ, SPXL, UPRO, TECL, etc.). - Selection logic: among eligible levered ETFs, the system ranks by a 10-day RSI and selects the top candidate to hold (one-at-a-time exposure). - If the market is not in an uptrend (price below the 200-day MA), the strategy leans into hedges (SQQQ) and/or longer-duration Treasuries (TLT) to dampen losses. - Rebalance is daily, and the intended outcome is to stay exposed to equities with leverage when conditions are favorable, while using UVXY, BIL, SQQQ, and TLT to manage risk. - The setup is explicitly equity-focused rather than diversified into multiple uncorrelated asset classes; the core exposure remains leveraged equity, with tactical hedges to protect against downside.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample edge: ~65.6% annualized return, ~1.09 Sharpe, and Calmar ~1.31 versus SPY ~18% return and ~1.03 Sharpe. Daily, single-asset levered equity with hedges aims to outperform the S&P 500 while managing risk.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
AlphaBetaR2R
0.791.680.220.47
Performance Metrics
Cumulative ReturnAnnualized ReturnTrailing 1M ReturnTrailing 3M ReturnSharpe Ratio
667.41%15.19%-2.02%-1.16%0.93
30,982,998.47%140.43%-1.84%-9.17%1.77
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,098,309,846.70
Regulatory Fees
$2,012,272.14
Total Slippage
$14,463,292.75
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 25, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged equity, momentum, tactical allocation, hedging, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

The symphony is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

The symphony is currently allocated toTQQQ. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, the symphony has returned 41.62%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for the symphony is 50.19%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in the symphony, simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.