JM255 - TQQQ For The Long Term (Reddit Post Link) modified by JM 8-25-24
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Daily, rules-based market timer: ride TQQQ in uptrends; when things look overheated, switch to a 50/50 UVXY–T‑Bills mix. In downtrends, rotate among leveraged bull, inverse, or Treasury ETFs using simple short-term “hot/cold” readings.
Each day: 1) Long-term trend: if SPY is above its 200‑day average (uptrend), hold TQQQ (3x Nasdaq‑100) unless a 10‑day RSI “heat gauge” says it’s too hot (>~80 on TQQQ or SPXL); then park 50/50 in UVXY (vol spike hedge) and BIL (T‑Bills). 2) If below the 200‑day (downtrend), use RSI and a 20‑day average to rotate among TECL/UPRO/TQQQ (bull), SQQQ (3x inverse QQQ), or TLT (Treasuries).
Out-of-sample edge: ~65.6% annualized return vs ~18% for SPY; Sharpe ~1.09 vs ~1.03; positive alpha and Calmar ~1.31. High upside with higher drawdown risk (~50% vs ~19%); suited for risk-tolerant investors seeking outsized gains.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.79 | 1.67 | 0.22 | 0.47 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 685.88% | 15.41% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.94 | |
| 32,810,909.88% | 141.86% | 1% | -9.32% | 1.78 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,281,100,988.10Regulatory Fees
$2,012,272.14
Total Slippage
$14,463,292.75
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 25, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Trend-following and mean-reversion, rsi signals, 200-day filter, leveraged etfs, volatility hedge, treasuries/cash, daily rebalance
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x Shares
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks