JM255 - TQQQ For The Long Term (Reddit Post Link) modified by JM 8-25-24
Today’s Change (Nov 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A very aggressive market-timing strategy that usually bets hard on big tech, but switches into volatility, bonds, cash-like Treasury bills, or bearish positions when conditions look overheated or weak.
This strategy checks the market every day.
If the overall U.S. stock market looks healthy, it usually buys TQQQ, a fund that makes a big bullish bet on large tech stocks. If the market looks too overheated, it backs off into a 50/50 mix of UVXY (a volatility spike trade) and BIL (very short-term Treasury bills).
If the market trend looks weak, it looks for beaten-down rebound trades in tech or the S&P 500. If no rebound setup appears, it shifts to either SQQQ (a bet against big tech) or TLT (long-term Treasury bonds), depending on which is acting stronger.
Out-of-sample: ~39.3% annualized return vs ~15.9% for the S&P—driven by aggressive tech bets. Higher risk: max drawdown ~50% vs ~19% for SPY; beta ~2.86. Dynamic hedges and regime shifts seek big upside with controlled downside.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.76 | 1.73 | 0.23 | 0.48 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 786.38% | 15.6% | -1.04% | -0.34% | 0.95 | |
| 38,330,772.02% | 134.89% | -25.12% | -16.65% | 1.73 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$3,833,087,202.26Regulatory Fees
$3,042,347.38
Total Slippage
$29,345,277.45
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 25, 2024
Trading Setting
Daily
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged equity, tactical asset allocation, trend following, mean reversion, risk management, nasdaq, volatility hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 9 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
SPXL
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
SQQQ
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ
Stocks
TECL
Direxion Daily Technology Bull 3x ETF
Stocks
TLT
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UVXY
ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Stocks