JJ's Canary Leverage v2.2b Replace UPRO with TQQQ
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A rules-based strategy that rides TQQQ (3× Nasdaq) when conditions look healthy, fades overbought spikes with UVXY, and shifts to a rotating set of safer assets (dollar, Treasuries, gold, utilities, commodities, volatility) when warning signs appear.
Step 1 (early warning): if broad bonds lag T‑bills, we switch to a protective mode (“canary”).
Step 2 (normal times): if risk signs are healthy (emerging‑markets trend; timber beating gold), hold TQQQ (3× Nasdaq). If things look too hot by RSI (a 0–100 hot/cold meter), briefly hold UVXY (volatility).
Step 3 (weak times): rotate into recent winners among dollar, Treasuries (TMF), gold, utilities, commodities, or VIX funds, or use a cautious mix.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets higher growth (35.28% annualized vs SPY’s 22.15%), with a Calmar near 1.02. Regime-aware canaries and hedges aim for big upside while capping losses, though drawdowns can exceed the S&P.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 13, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 2%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical multi-asset, leveraged etfs, momentum, mean reversion (rsi), volatility timing, risk-managed growth
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 17 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEO
iShares U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Stocks