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JJ's Canary Leverage v2.2b Replace UPRO with TQQQ
Today’s Change

A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here

About

A regime-switching, canary-driven levered strategy that uses TQQQ (Nasdaq 3x) as the main levered bet, with volatility and safe-haven hedges to limit drawdown during volatility spikes. RSI momentum signals and a momentum-favored “Safe Haven” sleeve steer exposure between risk-on and risk-off assets; a long-term trend filter guides the overall stance. It replaces UPRO with TQQQ to align leverage with Nasdaq exposure and includes diverse hedges like UVXY, TMF, VIXM, UUP, DBC, and GLD/UGL.
NutHow it works
- What it tries to do: generate leveraged upside when markets are favorable, but reduce risk when volatility spikes or trends weaken. It uses signals called canaries to decide when to tilt between bets. - Main bets: 3x exposure to Nasdaq (TQQQ) or volatility-related ETFs (UVXY) depending on momentum checks. When a strong uptrend is suspected, the system leans into TQQQ; when volatility spikes or risk conditions worsen, it moves toward hedges like UVXY and TMF instead of doubling down on risky bets. - RSI-based timing: a simple momentum gauge checks if short-term price momentum is extreme (overbought) or extreme weakness; this helps decide which levered or hedged position to hold. For example, when RSI on a Nasdaq proxy is very high, volatility hedges may be favored; when momentum is cooler, levered Nasdaq exposure may be preferred. - Canaries and “Main Canary On” mode: there are layers of signals (75–30 RSI catcher) that, when triggered, adjust the mix toward more offensive or protective assets. A dedicated “Safe Haven Momentum” sleeve looks at several hedging and defensive assets (dollar, Treasuries, gold/commodities, energy, utilities, volatility) and selects the top four by recent performance, allocating 40% of the overall capital to that group. - Long-term trend filter: there is a 365-day look-back/EMA concept that helps avoid taking on leveraged bets when broad trends aren’t favorable. - Allocation and rebalancing: the design emphasizes conditional exposure rather than routine rebalancing; the top-level rule indicates no fixed rebalancing cadence, but dynamic, signal-driven placement occurs whenever conditions are met. - Why replace UPRO with TQQQ: this version explicitly uses TQQQ (3x Nasdaq) to capture Nasdaq breadth rather than S&P 500, aligning leverage with the Nasdaq’s tech/growth tilt and potentially different drawdown characteristics. - Assets involved: includes UVXY, TQQQ, TMF, VIXM, SPY/QQQ proxies, UUP (US dollar), DBC (commodities), GLD/UGL (gold), IEO (oil & gas), XLU (utilities), and other macro hedges. Some entries (like WOOD in the code) look like placeholders or mis-typed values but the intended assets are those listed above. - What you should know: this is a highly active, multi-asset, leveraged approach that relies on timing and cross-asset signals. It is not a static, long-term buy-and-hold strategy and can experience large swings in value. Always consider risk tolerance and time horizon before engaging with leveraged strategies.
CheckmarkValue prop
Out-of-sample, this Nasdaq-tilted, regime-switching strategy targets ~35% annualized returns vs ~22% for the S&P, with Calmar ~1.02 and hedges to dampen spikes. Higher upside, but larger drawdowns in extreme moves.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
AlphaBetaR2R
0.560.720.130.36
Performance Metrics
Cumulative ReturnAnnualized ReturnTrailing 1M ReturnTrailing 3M ReturnSharpe Ratio
667.41%15.19%-2.02%-1.16%0.93
720,523.09%85.21%-0.42%6.58%1.97
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$72,062,308.64
Regulatory Fees
$225,003.64
Total Slippage
$1,588,078.45
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 13, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 2%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, volatility hedging, momentum, regime-switching, cross-asset hedging
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 17 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEO
iShares U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Stocks

FAQ

A Composer symphony is an automated trading strategy that executes trades based on parameters of your choice. Some symphonies are similar to holding one ETF in normal conditions and rotating to a different ETF when market conditions shift, for example a 5% drop in the S&P 500, while others use complex rules with dozens of triggers. However, complex doesn’t always mean better. A simple, well-structured symphony can be just as effective as an intricate one. Learn more about how symphonies work here.

The symphony is currently performing the same as yesterday today. Performance updates in real time during market hours.

The symphony is currently allocated toIEO, DBC, XLUandVIXM. Holdings automatically adjust as market conditions change based on the strategy's rules.

Year-to-date, the symphony has returned 32.40%. You can adjust the performance chart above to view returns across different time horizons.

The maximum drawdown for the symphony is 34.63%. The maximum drawdown measures the largest peak-to-trough decline. It's an important metric to evaluate risk and the strategy's behavior during market stress.

To invest in the symphony, simply click the Invest button on this page. You'll need to open an account with Composer if you don't have one yet, then you can start investing. Composer will automatically execute the trades for you based on the strategy's rules. Composer also supports trading individual stocks, ETFs, and options.