JJ's Canary Leverage v2.2a Replace UPRO and TQQQ with SOXL
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
Leverage-focused, signal-driven strategy using canaries and RSI to time levered bets (SOXL) and volatility hedges, plus a Safe Haven sleeve selected by 30-day momentum; replaces UPRO/TQQQ with SOXL, aims for higher upside with controlled risk via hedges.
- It watches a broad market proxy (roughly SPY) for momentum. If momentum is very strong (RSI above a high threshold), it may lean into hedges or cautious leverages; if momentum is weak or turning down (RSI low), it can tilt toward risk-on levered bets like SOXL.
- A primary canary (Main Canary On) uses a short-term RSI (e.g., 10 days) to decide whether to place bets on UVXY (volatility) or SOXL. Very high RSI can trigger volatility hedges; very low RSI can trigger levered equity exposure to catch uptrends.
- A separate risk-on/off structure compares the longer-term trend between global equities and bonds (60-day cumulative returns on WOOD vs BND). If equity momentum dominates, the strategy favors equities; if bonds look stronger, it shifts toward safer assets.
- When in a risk-off mode or during volatile periods, a Safe Haven Momentum sleeve is built from assets like UUP (dollar), TMF (long Treasuries 3x), DBC (commodities), UGL (gold), IEO (oil & gas), XLU (utilities), and VIXM (volatility futures). The top four performers over the last 30 days are chosen and weighted to contribute about 40% of the portfolio, providing diversification and potential protection.
- The overall approach intentionally uses SOXL in place of other levered bets (like UPRO/TQQQ) to focus on semiconductors as a growth driver while applying the canary and volatility hedges to curb drawdowns.
- There is no fixed rebalancing date; allocations shift when signals flip, making it a dynamic, signal-driven system rather than a static ruleset.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets ~46% annualized return vs SPY’s ~22%, powered by canary-driven SOXL leverage, RSI timing, and diversified Safe Haven hedges. Higher upside with risk controls; drawdowns can still be large in stress markets.
Loading backtest data...
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 13, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 2%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, momentum, canary signals, risk management, safe haven allocation, volatility trading, dynamic asset allocation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 17 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEO
iShares U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Stocks