JJ's Canary Leverage v2.2a Replace UPRO and TQQQ with SOXL
Today’s Change (Apr 20, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rules-based strategy aiming for big upside with SOXL, while sidestepping deep slides using a bond‑vs‑cash “canary,” short‑term hot/cold signals, and a momentum rotation into safe‑haven assets.
It first checks a canary: are broad bonds beating cash over ~2 months? If not, markets look fragile. In calm times it mostly rides a 3x chip‑stock fund (SOXL), with checks on trend and risk appetite (timber vs gold). In fragile times it uses a hot/cold meter (RSI, 0–100; >75=too hot, <30=too cold) on the S&P 500: if too hot, hold a volatility fund (UVXY); if too cold, buy SOXL; otherwise rotate into recent winners among the dollar, Treasuries, gold, commodities, utilities, and oil.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets ~46% annualized return vs SPY’s ~22%, with risk controls (canaries/RSI gates) and Calmar ~0.90. Max drawdown ~51% vs ~19% for SPY—higher risk, but far greater upside for those with higher risk tolerance.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.66 | 1.02 | 0.14 | 0.38 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 716.72% | 15.58% | 6.16% | 5.09% | 0.95 | |
| 3,240,330.55% | 104.64% | 2.2% | 2.68% | 1.8 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$324,043,054.88Regulatory Fees
$991,020.88
Total Slippage
$7,092,373.97
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 13, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 2%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, trend-following, mean reversion, volatility hedging, safe-haven rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 17 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEO
iShares U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Stocks