JJ's Canary Leverage v2.2a Replace UPRO and TQQQ with SOXL
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
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About
A rules-based strategy aiming for big upside with SOXL, while sidestepping deep slides using a bond‑vs‑cash “canary,” short‑term hot/cold signals, and a momentum rotation into safe‑haven assets.
It first checks a canary: are broad bonds beating cash over ~2 months? If not, markets look fragile. In calm times it mostly rides a 3x chip‑stock fund (SOXL), with checks on trend and risk appetite (timber vs gold). In fragile times it uses a hot/cold meter (RSI, 0–100; >75=too hot, <30=too cold) on the S&P 500: if too hot, hold a volatility fund (UVXY); if too cold, buy SOXL; otherwise rotate into recent winners among the dollar, Treasuries, gold, commodities, utilities, and oil.
Out-of-sample annualized return ~46% vs SPY ~22%; max drawdown ~51% vs ~19%. A regime-tested, canary-driven strategy using RSI timing and safe-haven rotations to chase big upside in semiconductors while aiming to limit losses.
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Apr 13, 2023
Trading Setting
Threshold 2%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, trend-following, mean reversion, volatility hedging, safe-haven rotation
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 17 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEO
iShares U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SOXL
Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Stocks