JJ's Canary Leverage v2.2
Today’s Change (Oct 22, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A rule-based strategy that tries to use leveraged stock funds in good conditions and shift into defensive assets or fear-based funds when the market looks stressed or overheated.
This strategy acts like a market weather system.
It first checks a few big warning signs using bonds, emerging-market stocks, and “risk-taking vs safety” assets like timber and gold. If conditions look friendly, it may buy boosted stock funds like UPRO or TQQQ. If stocks look overheated, it switches to UVXY, a fund that usually rises when fear jumps.
When conditions look shaky, it leans on defensive assets such as long-term Treasuries (TMF), the U.S. dollar (UUP), gold (UGL), commodities (DBC), utilities (XLU), energy (IEO), or volatility funds (VIXM). It often picks whichever of those have been strongest lately.
Out-of-sample, this strategy delivers 23.67% annualized return vs 17.74% for the S&P 500, using rules-based rotation and volatility hedging to capture upside and shift to defenses in stress. Drawdowns can be larger (~32%), but diversification helps.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.49 | 0.67 | 0.12 | 0.35 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 793.64% | 15.7% | -0.05% | 3.57% | 0.96 | |
| 349,919.87% | 72.2% | 1.44% | 6.41% | 1.87 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$35,001,986.89Regulatory Fees
$110,381.50
Total Slippage
$1,016,285.95
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 24, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 24%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical asset allocation, leveraged etfs, risk management, momentum, mean reversion, defensive rotation, volatility hedging
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 18 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEO
iShares U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Stocks