JJ's Canary Leverage v2.2
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A tactical, leveraged risk‑on/off strategy. It watches bonds vs cash and “wood vs gold.” It rides 3x stocks (UPRO, TQQQ) when trends are friendly, flips to VIX (UVXY/VIXM) when markets are overheated, and rotates into safe havens (TMF, UUP, UGL, DBC, XLU, IEO) when needed.
It flips between “go for it” and “play defense” using simple tells.
1) Canary: if bonds trail cash, use an RSI (a short-term hot/oversold meter) on SPY to buy VIX when too hot, 3x S&P when oversold; otherwise hold top safe havens (USD, Treasuries, gold, commodities, utilities, oil, mid‑term VIX).
2) Else run the normal playbook: if cyclical “wood” beats gold, hold 3x Nasdaq unless it’s too hot (then VIX). If fear is high, blend 3x Treasuries, 3x S&P, and VIX by risk; else pair Treasuries with either VIX (too hot) or 3x S&P. Signals update on thresholds; no fixed rebalance.
Out-of-sample, this strategy targets higher upside and diversification: ~26.5% annualized vs SPY’s ~18.1%, with lower beta (~0.77) and Sharpe ~0.97. Expect larger drawdowns (~32% vs ~19%); suited for risk-tolerant, diversified portfolios.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.51 | 0.68 | 0.13 | 0.36 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 685.88% | 15.41% | -0.15% | 0.4% | 0.94 | |
| 344,556.39% | 76.19% | -0.64% | 6.16% | 1.92 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$34,465,638.60Regulatory Fees
$123,944.93
Total Slippage
$865,560.04
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Aug 24, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 24%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical leveraged, risk-on/off, mean-reversion+momentum, volatility hedge, us stocks/tech, treasuries, gold, dollar, commodities, utilities, oil&gas
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 18 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
GLD
SPDR Gold Trust, SPDR Gold Shares
Stocks
IEO
iShares U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF
Stocks
QQQ
Invesco QQQ Trust, Series 1
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Stocks