A rules-based strategy that seeks extra upside with leveraged funds when conditions are favorable, and shifts to hedges or defensive assets when warning signals appear. It uses bond-vs-cash, long-term trend, and short-term “hot/cold” readings to switch gears.

1) Warning light: if a broad bond fund beat T‑bills over ~60 days, no warning; else warning on. 2) No warning: check emerging‑markets’ 1‑yr trend. If strong, hold a 3x Nasdaq fund; if not, split 50/50 between a 3x S&P 500 fund and a 3x long‑Treasury fund. 3) Warning: use a 10‑day RSI (a short‑term “hot/cold” meter). If very hot, use a leveraged VIX hedge; if very cold, buy the 3x S&P 500 dip; else own the top 3 (30‑day) from: dollar, long Treasuries, commodities, gold, energy, utilities. Rebalance on 5% drift.

Out-of-sample: ~25.8% annualized vs ~19.3% S&P. A rules-based, momentum-driven strategy that hedges and leverages for higher long-term growth, with built-in risk controls and potential drawdowns in stress periods.