JJ's Canary Leverage Lite v2.1
Today’s Change (Mar 17, 2026)
—
A symphony is an automated trading strategy — Learn more about symphonies here
About
A two-regime, leverage-adjusting strategy using canary signals, RSI extremes, and safe-haven momentum to tilt between levered equity bets (TQQQ/UPRO), a levered treasury hedge (TMF), volatility exposure (UVXY), and a momentum-driven safe-haven basket.
- The system starts with full exposure to the proposed assets, then decides between two regimes based on bond performance. If bonds favor a risk-on/off regime (Main Canary Off), it uses a trend test on VWO to tilt toward TQQQ (risk-on) or toward UPRO/TMF (risk-off). If bonds don’t show favorable performance (Main Canary On), it uses RSI signals on SPY: high RSI (>75) triggers UVXY (volatility hedge); low RSI (<30) triggers UPRO (short-term rebound exposure); otherwise it selects 3 top “safe haven momentum” assets from a pool (USD, Treasuries, commodities, gold, oil, utilities) based on 30-day momentum. The result is a dynamic, levered-yield strategy that attempts to adapt to regime shifts while providing hedges during stress.
Dynamic, regime-aware levered strategy designed to beat the S&P 500. Out-of-sample annualized return ~29% vs SPY ~19%, with multi-asset hedges and regime canaries. Higher drawdowns are possible, but diversification targets resilience across markets.
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
3Y
Max
Performance
Compared to selected benchmarks
| Alpha | Beta | R2 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.36 | 1.47 | 0.39 | 0.62 |
Performance Metrics
| Cumulative Return | Annualized Return | Trailing 1M Return | Trailing 3M Return | Sharpe Ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 669.43% | 15.2% | -1.77% | 0.2% | 0.93 | |
| 149,937.06% | 66.08% | 7.94% | 16.41% | 1.48 |
Initial Investment
$10,000.00
Final Value
$15,003,706.13Regulatory Fees
$43,718.05
Total Slippage
$295,047.15
Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 27, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Leveraged etfs, regime detection, momentum, hedging, trend-following
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
IEO
iShares U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks