JJ's Canary Leverage Lite v2.1
Today’s Change (Mar 5, 2026)
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About
A levered, rules‑based strategy. A bond‑vs‑cash canary decides between aggressive tech, a stock/bond barbell, short‑term RSI trades (volatility or stocks), or the strongest safe‑haven trio. High risk; uses 2–3× ETFs.
1) Check a canary: 60‑day returns of BND (US bonds) vs BIL (T‑bills/cash). If bonds beat cash, conditions look calmer.
2) Calm: check VWO (emerging‑markets) 1‑yr trend. If up, buy TQQQ (3× Nasdaq tech). If not, split UPRO (3× S&P 500) and TMF (3× long Treasuries).
3) Warning (bonds ≤ cash): use RSI(10) on SPY—a 0–100 “hot/cold” gauge. If very hot (>75), buy UVXY (volatility spike play). If very cold (<30), buy UPRO. Otherwise hold the top 3 by 30‑day return of UUP (US dollar), TMF, DBC (commodities), UGL (2× gold), IEO (oil & gas stocks), XLU (utilities).
Out-of-sample edge: 29.24% annualized return vs 19.30% for the S&P, driven by targeted 2-3x levered bets and a dynamic risk gate. Higher growth potential, but expect more volatility and drawdowns (up to ~50%).
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Invest in this strategy
OOS Start Date
Jun 27, 2022
Trading Setting
Threshold 5%
Type
Stocks
Category
Tactical allocation, leveraged etfs, bond-vs-cash canary, rsi extremes, safe-haven momentum, volatility hedge
Tickers in this symphonyThis symphony trades 13 assets in total
Ticker
Type
BIL
State Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETF
Stocks
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market
Stocks
DBC
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Stocks
IEO
iShares U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF
Stocks
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Stocks
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (based on the NYSE 20 Year Plus Treasury Bond Index; symbol AXTWEN)
Stocks
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
Stocks
UGL
ProShares Ultra Gold
Stocks
UPRO
ProShares UltraPro S&P 500
Stocks
UUP
Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund
Stocks